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Free Ipod Conga Line

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Thursday, December 29, 2005

Sony to Offer iTunes Music as Part of Spyware Lawsuit Settlement

Interestingly as part of Sony's spyware settlement they are required to offer online downloads using any commercial service. This means that those who choose to receive 3 free digital albums will be able to purchase them using iTunes. This settlement has not been approved by a judge as yet, but it seems like it would go through.

Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Yahoo streams CBS sitcoms

Apple has deals with ABC and NBC, but CBS seems like it may not do a deal with Apple. Though NBC and CBS have made their own deals with other companies, those deals were essentially test markets (DirecTV and Comcast respectively). Apple finally agreed to let NBC sell TV shows over iTunes without the fixed $1.99 price. CBS has decided to try to circumvent Apple by letting Yahoo stream TV shows for free for a week. This seems similar to the Chris Rock show that Google Videos streamed for a short time. As such its probably more of a market test to see how popular the shows are rather than a deal that will preclude Apple showing CBS content in the future.

Monday, December 26, 2005

WSJ: Spitzer investigating online music pricing

It seems the NY State Attorney General will be investigating the music industry regarding online music pricing. More specifically, collusion to set online music pricing. It would be interesting to know what made the NY State AG decide to do this now as Apple/music industry pricing arguments are flaring.

Thursday, December 22, 2005

Video Downloads 'Perfect Test Bed For Full-Length TV Shows

An analyst with ABI Research stated that the iTunes video model is the perfect test bed for experimenting with new shows. Rather than going through the expensive broadcast model, they can try "short versions" for cheaper. Considering that the same cast crew writers etc. would be doing the show it seems unlikely that networks will trial new shows this way. More likely independents would make shows and after generating enough interest the networks would cherry pick the top downloads to become broadcast network shows.

Monday, December 19, 2005

Apple shipping 100K nanos a day, mulls 1GB model

Appleinsider reports that Apple is manufacturing 100K iPod Nanos a day. This works out to 9 million units this quarter. A fair number of analysts are forecasting sales of 10-11 million nanos. This may be possible if Apple had some stock of Nanos from the previous quarter, but considering that iPod Nanos have been hot sellers since they were introduced this seems unlikely.

There is also mention of a possible 1GB iPod Nao for $149. This would replace the redesigned shuffle. The new shuffle would then be limited to 512MB for possibly $79

Friday, December 16, 2005

Consumers buying more Apple iPods than cell phones

Morgan Stanley raised in estimates for Apple in 2006 and 2007 by an incredible .28 and .50 cents respectively. This is in spite of Apple not being able to keep up with demand this holiday season. They conducting polls and found more people plan to buy iPods than cell phones, that more people are going to buy iTunes gift cards than non Apple MP3 players. Of all current MP3 player owners 40% plan to buy an iPod! People who own iPod Shuffles are more likely to trade up and get a full featured iPod. Apple also has room to increase the number of its retail stores, they will likely get a sales increase with the release of the new Intel Macs, and that Apple might get into the cell phone business. Based on this Morgan Stanley moved its price target up to an amazing $90!

Wednesday, December 14, 2005

iPod competitors can't compete with Apple

Gene Munster, a PiperJaffray analyst implies the iPod provides a greater value than other MP3 players and since its cool that it will keep its lead for years to come. This seems like a fluff piece intended to increase the stock price since a Creative Zen 40GB and a Toshiba Gigabeat 40GB can be had for less than the 30GB iPod at Walmart.com and Amazon.com lists at least 7 other 40GB MP3 players that are cheaper than the iPod. The study looks only at Creative,Sony,iRiver, and Samsung players and their cost per gigabyte. Looking at street prices, Cnet shows that ALL Creative players can be had at a cheaper cost per gigabyte than Apple's 30GB iPod while Sony players tend to be more expensive on a per gigabye basis. While Apple may have economies of scale which allow them to purchase the component parts cheaper than competitors they are not selling their iPods for less because of it.

Friday, December 09, 2005

Apple planning on wireless iPods

Based on past strategy moves by Portal Player (the original iPod click wheel provider, and chip supplier for the photo iPod), it looks as though Apple will be introducing a wireless iPod next year. PortalPlayer recently was asked Apple to again provide it with click wheels as its in house design being created by a new manufacturer were not being created in large enough supply. So even though PortalPlayers click wheel business with Apple has been on the decline, their overall relationship with Apple is good. Thus its recent announcement that they will be spending 2006 on wireless capabilities, it implies that Apple, or anyone else who is currently using their chips will have the capability of creating wireless MP3 players.

Tuesday, December 06, 2005

Apple iTunes adds new shows, end $1.99 pricing

While Steve Jobs and Apple have held firm against the music industry and maintained $.99 per song pricing, its new announcement today portends the end of such fixed pricing. The announcements that NBC, Sci-Fi and USA are adding content to iTunes contained the twist that the shows will not be the same but will vary from $1.99 to $9.99 and may not be available for per episode purchase.

Synaptics gets the nod to help boost iPod supply

Details on how many, for how long and for how much are scarce, but Apple has contacted Synaptics to again manufacture click wheels. Due to the "staggering" demand for the iPod Nano, and Cypress semiconductor's inability to keep up, Apple is again sourcing click wheels from Synaptics. It would seem that Apple's target of 9 million nanos seems too optimistic with the current target being 7.5 million.

Saturday, December 03, 2005

Why rebates aren't still sent via snail mail?

An ill-informaed piece on the profitable practice known as the mail in rebate. From the article: "There's more than a little irony in the idea of purchasing a computer and then using a time consuming, manual process that the very item one has purchased could easily have automated."

read more | digg story

Guy gets lied to about rebates and believes it

Some people it seems are rather gullible when they are told by "authorities" on what to believe. Robert Mitchell talked to Stephen Baker at the NPD Group about how rebates are not actually designed to make companies money, and Mitchell believes it. If this is true, why is it that when companies could provide one rebate they almost always make you submit two. On each rebate form it states that no copies of the UPC or receipt are acceptable. The retailer knows someone has to be sent a copy, as does the rebate fulfillment center. The wording is designed to confuse and allow the rebate center to more easily reject a rebate request. Take upgrade rebates, rebate centers request the first page of a manual or the actual CD, or some similar proof of purchase. If you call in you will be told that a copy of the CD will be acceptable. Of course if you send in a copy of a CD then your rebate request will be denied until you call in. If all the CSR's know that a copy of the CD is ok why is the request denied?

The most damning evidence of this is the rebate fulfillment companies marketing information they hand out. They actually keep statistics on the percentage of rebates they reject, and places like TCA tout how they reject more rebates than other fulfillment centers in trying to get companies businesses. Its a basic fact that rebate companies can control how easy or hard it is to get a rebate fulfilled and they market this to companies. Want to make your customer wait 12 weeks to get a rebate? We can do that. Want to give the consumer 7 days to mail in the rebate? We can do that too.

I submitted McAfee and Symantec rebates on the same day to the same company (rebateshq.com), the Symantec rebates all came in 4-6 weeks. After 12 weeks and a few calls the McAfee rebates came in. The rebates were mailed at the same time to the SAME ADDRESS. Clearly the company had processed them at the same time, but because McAfee gave them different terms on fulfillment time they didn't mail the checks out on the McAfee rebates until later.

Of the items mentioned in the story that don't make sense:
-People perceive them as one-time oppurtunitys to get the product at a lower price.
How is this different from a sale? Considering todays all-rebate all-the-time environment, I don't think this is true anymore, even if it was 10 years ago.
-If rebates go away, all the savings won't go into a lower price.
Companies choose to provide rebates instead of lowering prices because it will cost more to lower the price $50 than provide two $25 rebates. So it does cost less to offer rebates, NPD group is basically admitting that their pro-rebates arguments are false.
-As long as consumers use rebates, companies will offer them.
Basically laws regarding rebates either don't exist or are minimal. Companies will continue to use rebates and take advantage of customers until laws making it harder to do so are put in place. Rebates used to take 4-6 weeks to get a check, now 8-10 weeks is the norm. If the rebate company messes up your rebate, you have to wait 8-10 weeks from when you resubmit your rebate even though its their fault. Some laws are being written to standardize the rebate process and provide consumers a better experience. Companies use rebates because its good for them, not because consumers want it.

Friday, December 02, 2005

Apple goes toward becoming a media distribution company

Further cementing itself as the leader in digital distribution, Apple plans to add a new content delivery system. Considering its recent announcement that Apple has more than doubled its sales of video downloads, many media companies are eager to strike distribution deals with Apple. Taking the opposite tack of iTunes, download and own model, the new video distribution method may only stream content to end users. Thus no downloading would be required, but also ownership of the material wouldn't either. Supposedly video content could be loaded onto an iPod, but still be done without transferring any file to the users hard drive. This new announcement looks to be tied to a new mac mini which "will be bigger than anyone can imagine" and could tie into Intels Viiv (media management and playback) project.

Thursday, December 01, 2005

Motorola's next iTunes phone

Motorola has revealed its next ROKR iTunes phone. It is based on the company's PEBL design motif, which features rounded curves, and will come in back. The joystick now looks like a trackball and the phone will be one of three upcoming iTunes phones. The SLVR and RAZR2 are expected to be iTunes compatible.